Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 23:05 • Excursionistas Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.12) 0.89 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 28.7% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Argentino de Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excursionistas 0 11.5% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack44%38%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo
HATHAT
Played202040202040
Wins55%25%40%45%35%40%
Draws25%15%20%25%25%25%
Loses20%60%40%30%40%35%

Form: Excursionistas: LDLDDWWDLDLWWWWLWWLWLLLDWLWWDLWDWLWLLWLL • Argentino de Merlo: LDLDDLWWLWWDDWLWWWWWLWLDDLLWDDLDWWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo
HATHAT
GF total252348292150
GF avg1.31.21.21.51.11.3
GA total132942202242
GA avg0.71.51.11.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%65%68%68%
1.525%35%40%28%
2.515%5%13%8%
3.55%0%3%3%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets113146713
Failed to score56114913

Penalties

MetricExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total94

Streaks

MetricExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
Wins45
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-11-3
Biggest losses0-22-02-43-0
Goals For4553
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
Form33%67%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Argentino de Merlo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw2.86 @ 188Bet
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excursionistas = 1.27 (league 1.12), Argentino de Merlo = 0.89 (league 0.87)

Argentino de Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excursionistas 0 11.5% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1