Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 16:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.28) 0.75 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.0% 24.4% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 9.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaftMosul
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack64%43%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naft Mosul
HATHAT
Played145235
Wins100%25%40%50%33%40%
Draws0%50%40%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%20%50%67%60%

Form: Naft: WLDWD • Mosul: LWWLL

League goals

Metric Naft Mosul
HATHAT
GF total369336
GF avg3.01.51.81.51.01.2
GA total044426
GA avg0.01.00.82.00.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaftMosul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%60%80%
1.560%40%40%20%
2.540%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaftMosul
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricNaftMosul
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNaftMosul
Wins12
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-10-3
Biggest losses—2-11-31-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against0231

Model comparison

MetricNaftMosul
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Naft or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naft = 1.64 (league 1.28), Mosul = 0.75 (league 1.06)

Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 9.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1