Iraqi League — Iraq
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 16:30 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.28) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 33.6% 37.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
16.8%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gharraf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 17.9% 16.8% 7.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilGharraf
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack47%33%
Defense87%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Gharraf
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%67%83%50%50%50%
Draws0%33%17%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWW • Gharraf: WWWDDD

League goals

Metric Erbil Gharraf
HATHAT
GF total6410426
GF avg2.01.31.71.01.01.0
GA total314112
GA avg1.00.30.70.30.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilGharraf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%67%33%
1.550%17%17%0%
2.533%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilGharraf
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricErbilGharraf
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricErbilGharraf
Wins23
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-10-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For3331
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricErbilGharraf
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Marathonbet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 0.78 (league 1.28), Gharraf = 0.94 (league 1.06)

Gharraf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 17.9% 16.8% 7.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 37.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1