Iraqi League — Iraq
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 16:30 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.19) 0.92 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.1% 33.3% 35.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Gharraf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 17.1% 15.8% 7.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.3% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilGharraf
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack47%33%
Defense87%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Gharraf
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%67%83%50%50%50%
Draws0%33%17%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWW • Gharraf: WWWDDD

League goals

Metric Erbil Gharraf
HATHAT
GF total6410426
GF avg2.01.31.71.01.01.0
GA total314112
GA avg1.00.30.70.30.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilGharraf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%67%33%
1.550%17%17%0%
2.533%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilGharraf
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricErbilGharraf
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricErbilGharraf
Wins23
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-10-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For3331
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricErbilGharraf
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Marathonbet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 0.84 (league 1.19), Gharraf = 0.92 (league 1.08)

Gharraf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 17.1% 15.8% 7.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.3% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.1% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 35.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1