Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Azteca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.57) 1.67 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 23.9% 44.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.6% 11.1% 9.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%55%
Defense82%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric América W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins73%70%71%73%70%71%
Draws9%20%14%18%30%24%
Loses18%10%14%9%0%5%

Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWW • Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDW

League goals

Metric América W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
GF total382866392564
GF avg3.52.83.13.52.53.0
GA total1013237613
GA avg0.91.31.10.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmérica WTigres UANL W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%57%90%43%
1.586%38%76%14%
2.552%14%48%5%
3.529%0%38%0%
4.519%0%24%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
HATHAT
Clean sheets6396612
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Wins85
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-01-59-00-7
Biggest losses0-23-22-3
Goals For11597
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Form59%41%
Att71%29%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : América W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ 10Bet
Away5.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): América W = 1.33 (league 1.57), Tigres UANL W = 1.67 (league 1.35)

Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.6% 11.1% 9.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 44.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1