Sun, Nov 23 2025 ā¢ 19:30 ā¢
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.09)
0.14 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5% | 30.3% | 4.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
31.4%
0 - 0
25.7%
2 - 0
19.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Club Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Penarol | 0 | 25.7% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.4% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Penarol | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Penarol | Club Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 76% | 86% | 22% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 12% | 14% | 56% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 12% | 0% | 22% | 13% |
Form: Penarol: WWWLWWWDWWWDWLWWW ā¢ Club Nacional: LWLWDWWWWDWDWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Penarol | Club Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Penarol | Club Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 53% | 56% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 24% | 50% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 0% | 38% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Penarol | Club Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Penarol | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Penarol | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | ā | 2-0 | ā | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Penarol | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Penarol or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Penarol = 1.22 (league 1.09), Club Nacional = 0.14 (league 1.02)
| Club Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Penarol | 0 | 25.7% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.4% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.5% Ā· Draw 30.3% Ā· Away win 4.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1