Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Jose Ramon Flores
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.20) 2.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.9% 16.1% 65.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Limeño 0 2.5% 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMunicipal LimeñoAlianza
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack32%32%
Defense82%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Municipal Limeño Alianza
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%18%36%45%73%59%
Draws0%36%18%27%18%23%
Loses45%45%45%27%9%18%

Form: Municipal Limeño: LDWLLWLWLWLDWLWLLDWLDW • Alianza: DWDDLWWWWWWWWWWLLDLWDW

League goals

Metric Municipal Limeño Alianza
HATHAT
GF total181230142337
GF avg1.61.11.41.32.11.7
GA total16163211920
GA avg1.51.51.51.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMunicipal LimeñoAlianza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%77%77%68%
1.518%45%50%18%
2.59%18%23%5%
3.59%5%9%0%
4.55%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMunicipal LimeñoAlianza
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score101415

Penalties

MetricMunicipal LimeñoAlianza
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMunicipal LimeñoAlianza
Wins110
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-13-10-5
Biggest losses1-43-10-21-0
Goals For5235
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricMunicipal LimeñoAlianza
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Municipal Limeño = 1.06 (league 1.20), Alianza = 2.63 (league 1.20)

Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Limeño 0 2.5% 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.9% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 65.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1