Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 13:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.56) 3.78 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 14.4% 37.5%
best score tips
2 - 3
4.7%
3 - 3
4.6%
2 - 4
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nocerina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8%
1 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 2.3%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.7% 4.4% 3.3%
3 0.5% 1.9% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.3%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 2.4%
5 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrancavillaNocerina
Played44
Form100%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.512 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Francavilla Nocerina
HATHAT
Played314314
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Francavilla: WWWW • Nocerina: WWWW

League goals

Metric Francavilla Nocerina
HATHAT
GF total73109312
GF avg2.33.02.53.03.03.0
GA total426426
GA avg1.32.01.51.32.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrancavillaNocerina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%75%
1.5100%50%100%75%
2.550%0%75%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrancavillaNocerina
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFrancavillaNocerina
Scored (total | %)7 | 87.50%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 12.50%0 | 0%
Total80

Streaks

MetricFrancavillaNocerina
Wins44
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-34-22-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3343
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricFrancavillaNocerina
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nocerina and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Francavilla = 2.96 (league 1.56), Nocerina = 3.78 (league 1.03)

Nocerina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8%
1 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 2.3%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.7% 4.4% 3.3%
3 0.5% 1.9% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.3%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 2.4%
5 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 37.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1