Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 13:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.56) 0.82 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.4% 30.8% 26.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Correggese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 14.2% 11.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.0% 7.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoieseCorreggese
Played45
Form100%73%
Attack100%90%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese Correggese
HATHAT
Played224336
Wins100%100%100%67%67%67%
Draws0%0%0%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Pistoiese: WWWW • Correggese: WDDWWW

League goals

Metric Pistoiese Correggese
HATHAT
GF total56117512
GF avg2.53.02.82.31.72.0
GA total123325
GA avg0.51.00.81.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoieseCorreggese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%83%
1.5100%0%50%0%
2.575%0%33%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoieseCorreggese
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPistoieseCorreggese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPistoieseCorreggese
Wins41
Draws02
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-11-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3343
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricPistoieseCorreggese
Form52%48%
Att55%45%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pistoiese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.13 (league 1.56), Correggese = 0.82 (league 1.03)

Correggese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 14.2% 11.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.0% 7.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 26.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1