Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion na Udolni
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.71)
2.20 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 20.1% | 41.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Vrchovina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blansko | 0 | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Vrchovina carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Blansko +7.5, Vrchovina -24.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Blansko
vs
Vrchovina
Elo gapVrchovina +68
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo3017.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3017.9
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1457.4 | 1560.5 |
| Form Elo | 1459.4 | 1548.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1482.5 | 1519.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1561.2 | 1633.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1358.6 | 1527.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +7.5 | -24.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Blansko last-5 Elo change: +7.5; Vrchovina last-5 Elo change: -24.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 69% | 31% |
| Defense | 23% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 55% | 23% | 38% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 18% | 31% | 25% |
| Loses | 58% | 67% | 63% | 27% | 46% | 38% |
BlanskoLLLWDLWWLLLLLLWLLLWWWDLL
VrchovinaWLLDDWLWWLLDWWWLWLWLDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 16 | 35 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 28 | 24 | 52 | 12 | 27 | 39 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Blansko | Vrchovina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 83% | 63% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 67% | 46% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 42% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 17% | 17% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-1 | 1-5 | 7-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Blansko | Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.00 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Marathonbet
No2.50 @ Unibet
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League standings
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