Super League
— Kenya
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.26)
1.19 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6% | 30.0% | 44.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Nairobi City Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mwatate United | 0 | 13.3% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 83% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
Form: Mwatate United: LDLLDDWD • Nairobi City Stars: LWWLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 13% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mwatate United | Nairobi City Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Mwatate United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mwatate United = 0.83 (league 1.26), Nairobi City Stars = 1.19 (league 0.76)
| Nairobi City Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mwatate United | 0 | 13.3% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 44.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1