Super League
— Kenya
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.26)
0.53 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 31.9% | 17.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.5%
0 - 0
18.7%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| MOFA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naivas | 0 | 18.7% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naivas | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naivas | MOFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Naivas: WWDWLDWD • MOFA: WWLDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Naivas | MOFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naivas | MOFA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 50% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naivas | MOFA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naivas | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naivas | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naivas | MOFA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Naivas or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Naivas = 1.15 (league 1.26), MOFA = 0.53 (league 0.76)
| MOFA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naivas | 0 | 18.7% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 17.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1