Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.52)
0.54 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 24.8% | 12.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
14.9%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Humpolec | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tatran Bohunice | 0 | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Tatran Bohunice carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 119 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tatran Bohunice -17.1, Humpolec -15.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Tatran Bohunice
vs
Humpolec
Elo gapTatran Bohunice +119
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2955.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2955.3
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1519.6 | 1435.7 |
| Form Elo | 1520.6 | 1429.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1507.6 | 1486.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1424.7 | 1512.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1514.8 | 1451.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -17.1 | -15.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Tatran Bohunice last-5 Elo change: -17.1; Humpolec last-5 Elo change: -15.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 45% | 73% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 0% | 27% | 14% |
| Loses | 9% | 36% | 23% | 64% | 45% | 55% |
Tatran BohuniceDWDWWWWWLLDLWWDWDWDWLL
HumpolecLLWDWLLLDWWLLLWWLLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 50% | 73% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 27% | 45% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 27% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tatran Bohunice | Humpolec |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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