Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.51)
2.33 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.7% | 18.9% | 60.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.2%
0 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bzenec | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kroměříž II | 0 | 3.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Bzenec carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 34 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kroměříž II -14.5, Bzenec +8.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Kroměříž II
vs
Bzenec
Elo gapBzenec +34
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo2977.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2977.7
Elo home share
45%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1454.3 | 1523.4 |
| Form Elo | 1428.5 | 1541.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1475.8 | 1475.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1430 | 1574.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1427.1 | 1426.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.5 | +8.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Kroměříž II last-5 Elo change: -14.5; Bzenec last-5 Elo change: +8.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 13% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 27% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 45% | 48% |
| Draws | 18% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 55% | 50% | 52% | 30% | 55% | 43% |
Kroměříž IILLDWDWWWWLLWLLLLLLLWD
BzenecWWDLLDWLLLWWWLWWLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 16 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 16 | 21 | 37 | 17 | 24 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kroměříž II | Bzenec | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 90% | 76% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 38% | 67% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 29% | 48% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 19% | 14% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 5-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kroměříž II | Bzenec |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 41.4% | 58.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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