Šternberk vs Baťov

4. liga - Divizie E — Czech-Republic

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Šternberk

—

Baťov

Expected Goals

2.13 (league 1.51) 1.19 (league 1.35)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
56.7%	20.5%	20.4%

best score tips

2 - 1

9.8%

1 - 1

9.2%

2 - 0

8.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Baťov
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Šternberk	0	3.7%	4.3%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	7.8%	9.2%	5.4%	2.2%	0.6%	0.2%
	2	8.2%	9.8%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	5.8%	6.9%	4.1%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	3.1%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	1.3%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Šternberk -19.4, Baťov +6.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Šternberk Elo 1441.5 · -19.4

Baťov Elo 1465.9 · +6.4

Elo gapŠternberk +11

Home / draw / away37% / 29% / 34%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo2907.4

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2907.4

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Šternberk	Baťov
Overall Elo	1441.5	1465.9
Form Elo	1430.2	1465.4
Home / Away Elo	1496.5	1485.6
Attack Elo	1471	1387.3
Defense Elo	1427	1460.2
Last 5 Elo change	-19.4	+6.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Šternberk last-5 Elo change: -19.4; Baťov last-5 Elo change: +6.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Šternberk	Baťov
Played	5	5
Form	13%	27%
Attack	8%	38%
Defense	54%	23%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%

FT probability

2.5+

61%

FT probability

3.5+

43%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Šternberk			Baťov
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	11	21	11	10	21
Wins	20%	18%	19%	45%	10%	29%
Draws	30%	18%	24%	27%	30%	29%
Loses	50%	64%	57%	27%	60%	43%

ŠternberkLLLWDLLLWDLWDLLWLLDDL

BaťovLLDWDLWLWWDLDDLWLLLWD

League goals

Metric	Šternberk			Baťov
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	16	9	25	14	8	22
GF avg	1.6	0.8	1.2	1.3	0.8	1.0
GA total	20	18	38	15	20	35
GA avg	2.0	1.6	1.8	1.4	2.0	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Šternberk		Baťov
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	81%	71%	81%
1.5	24%	48%	24%	43%
2.5	5%	29%	10%	33%
3.5	5%	14%	0%	10%
4.5	5%	10%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Šternberk			Baťov
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	1	4	2	2	4
Failed to score	2	4	6	3	3	6

Penalties

Metric	Šternberk	Baťov
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Šternberk	Baťov
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	7-0	1-2	3-1	0-1
Biggest losses	1-5	3-1	0-4	4-1
Goals For	7	2	3	2
Goals Against	5	3	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Šternberk	Baťov
Form	33%	67%
Att	17%	83%
Def	63%	38%
Poisson Distribution	65%	35%
H2h	40%	60%
Goals	45%	55%
Total	43.8%	56.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Šternberk vs Baťov

Metric	Šternberk	Baťov
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0