Liga MX — Mexico
Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.57) 1.93 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 22.0% 46.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
1 4.9% 9.4% 9.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.0% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC JuarezPachuca
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack63%38%
Defense13%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Juarez Pachuca
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%22%33%44%33%39%
Draws33%22%28%0%44%22%
Loses22%56%39%56%22%39%

Form: FC Juarez: DLDLWWWDLWWLDLDWLL • Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLDLLW

League goals

Metric FC Juarez Pachuca
HATHAT
GF total161228101424
GF avg1.81.31.61.11.61.3
GA total131831101222
GA avg1.42.01.71.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC JuarezPachuca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%67%78%
1.550%44%44%44%
2.511%28%22%0%
3.56%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC JuarezPachuca
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricFC JuarezPachuca
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricFC JuarezPachuca
Wins34
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-20-22-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricFC JuarezPachuca
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pachuca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Juarez = 1.49 (league 1.57), Pachuca = 1.93 (league 1.16)

Pachuca
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
1 4.9% 9.4% 9.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.0% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 46.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1