Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 05:00 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.57) 0.97 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 27.0% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 9.4% 9.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub TijuanaTigres UANL
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack38%81%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Tijuana Tigres UANL
HATHAT
Played108189817
Wins60%13%39%67%50%59%
Draws40%25%33%22%50%35%
Loses0%63%28%11%0%6%

Form: Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWDWLWDLDLLWW • Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Club Tijuana Tigres UANL
HATHAT
GF total221032221335
GF avg2.21.31.82.41.62.1
GA total717248816
GA avg0.72.11.30.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub TijuanaTigres UANL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%61%88%53%
1.556%39%53%24%
2.528%22%24%18%
3.56%11%18%0%
4.56%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub TijuanaTigres UANL
HATHAT
Clean sheets617538
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricClub TijuanaTigres UANL
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricClub TijuanaTigres UANL
Wins13
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-27-00-2
Biggest losses—4-11-3—
Goals For5374
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricClub TijuanaTigres UANL
Form35%65%
Att32%68%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h20%80%
Goals19%81%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres UANL

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Tijuana = 1.40 (league 1.57), Tigres UANL = 0.97 (league 1.16)

Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 9.4% 9.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1