Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.11) 1.31 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 27.5% 41.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 9.1% 11.9% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.9% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.4% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeDeportes Tolima
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
Played252550242448
Wins48%44%46%54%50%52%
Draws28%28%28%25%21%23%
Loses24%28%26%21%29%25%

Form: Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDWLDDLWWWLW • Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
GF total313162373269
GF avg1.21.21.21.51.31.4
GA total202848202444
GA avg0.81.11.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeDeportes Tolima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%60%79%58%
1.534%26%42%21%
2.58%4%19%10%
3.52%2%4%2%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeDeportes Tolima
HATHAT
Clean sheets12820101020
Failed to score67135510

Penalties

MetricSanta FeDeportes Tolima
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total92

Streaks

MetricSanta FeDeportes Tolima
Wins36
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-74-01-4
Biggest losses1-36-11-33-1
Goals For3744
Goals Against3634

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeDeportes Tolima
Form48%52%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Fe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.08 (league 1.11), Deportes Tolima = 1.31 (league 0.79)

Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 9.1% 11.9% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.9% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.4% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 41.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1