Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.11) 1.36 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 18.4% 19.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
7.4%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico NacionalJunior
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack88%75%
Defense63%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Nacional Junior
HATHAT
Played232447242448
Wins70%29%49%58%29%44%
Draws17%46%32%21%38%29%
Loses13%25%19%21%33%27%

Form: Atletico Nacional: WWWDLWWDWDLWDWLWDWLLDDLWLWWWLDDWDDWDWWDWDWWWLWD • Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDDWLWWLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Atletico Nacional Junior
HATHAT
GF total483381372865
GF avg2.11.41.71.51.21.4
GA total202747193150
GA avg0.91.11.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico NacionalJunior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%64%77%67%
1.551%28%42%31%
2.526%9%13%6%
3.511%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico NacionalJunior
HATHAT
Clean sheets107179716
Failed to score2795611

Penalties

MetricAtletico NacionalJunior
Scored (total | %)14 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total1410

Streaks

MetricAtletico NacionalJunior
Wins35
Draws23
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-54-00-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-23-0
Goals For5543
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAtletico NacionalJunior
Form56%44%
Att54%46%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total54.5%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 188Bet
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away5.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Nacional = 2.47 (league 1.11), Junior = 1.36 (league 0.79)

Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1