Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 22:30 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.11) 1.21 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 25.5% 30.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Fe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 6.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.0% 12.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes TolimaSanta Fe
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack62%46%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Tolima Santa Fe
HATHAT
Played242549262551
Wins54%52%53%46%44%45%
Draws25%20%22%27%28%27%
Loses21%28%24%27%28%27%

Form: Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWWWWWWDW • Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDWLDDLWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Deportes Tolima Santa Fe
HATHAT
GF total373471323163
GF avg1.51.41.41.21.21.2
GA total202545222850
GA avg0.81.00.90.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes TolimaSanta Fe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%59%75%61%
1.543%20%33%27%
2.518%10%8%4%
3.54%2%2%2%
4.50%0%2%2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes TolimaSanta Fe
HATHAT
Clean sheets10102012820
Failed to score55106713

Penalties

MetricDeportes TolimaSanta Fe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total29

Streaks

MetricDeportes TolimaSanta Fe
Wins63
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-01-7
Biggest losses1-33-11-36-1
Goals For4437
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricDeportes TolimaSanta Fe
Form59%41%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 1.49 (league 1.11), Santa Fe = 1.21 (league 0.79)

Santa Fe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 6.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.0% 12.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 30.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1