Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.11) 1.11 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 28.3% 33.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.9%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 10.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack25%33%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played212243222042
Wins52%18%35%59%30%45%
Draws29%32%30%18%30%24%
Loses19%50%35%23%40%31%

Form: Fortaleza FC: DLWWLLLDDDLLLWWDLWLLWWDDDDDWDWWLWDWLWWDLLLW • Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDDWLWWDWLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total241842332154
GF avg1.10.81.01.51.11.3
GA total163349182442
GA avg0.81.51.10.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%63%74%62%
1.528%33%36%26%
2.52%12%12%10%
3.52%5%7%2%
4.50%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets1151611516
Failed to score69155611

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total68

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Wins23
Draws53
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-01-4
Biggest losses1-54-00-43-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Form36%64%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h40%60%
Goals31%69%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bucaramanga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 1.19 (league 1.11), Bucaramanga = 1.11 (league 0.79)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 10.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 33.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1