Primera A — Colombia
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.11) 0.91 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 28.3% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 11.0% 10.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack73%55%
Defense64%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Medellin America de Cali
HATHAT
Played252651252449
Wins48%46%47%60%29%45%
Draws40%23%31%32%29%31%
Loses12%31%22%8%42%24%

Form: Independiente Medellin: DWWDWWWDDDDLWWDDLLWLDWWWWDDLDLLWWWWWWDDWLWWDLWWWLDL • America de Cali: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDLWWDWWDWDLWDDWLLLDLDLDWWDLWWWWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Independiente Medellin America de Cali
HATHAT
GF total413576412162
GF avg1.61.31.51.60.91.3
GA total202848192241
GA avg0.81.10.90.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%61%71%57%
1.541%22%39%18%
2.525%6%12%8%
3.54%4%4%0%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
HATHAT
Clean sheets12820111021
Failed to score481241014

Penalties

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total94

Streaks

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Wins65
Draws42
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-00-4
Biggest losses3-45-21-33-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away5.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellin = 1.30 (league 1.11), America de Cali = 0.91 (league 0.79)

America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 11.0% 10.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1