Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Américo Montanini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.11) 1.41 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.7% 25.4% 38.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 6.3% 8.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.5% 12.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBucaramangaDeportes Tolima
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack36%55%
Defense55%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bucaramanga Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
Played222143252550
Wins59%33%47%56%52%54%
Draws18%29%23%24%20%22%
Loses23%38%30%20%28%24%

Form: Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDDWLWWDWLWLWDLW • Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Bucaramanga Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
GF total332356383472
GF avg1.51.11.31.51.41.4
GA total182442202545
GA avg0.81.11.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBucaramangaDeportes Tolima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%60%80%58%
1.537%26%42%20%
2.512%9%18%10%
3.57%2%4%2%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBucaramangaDeportes Tolima
HATHAT
Clean sheets11617111021
Failed to score56115510

Penalties

MetricBucaramangaDeportes Tolima
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total82

Streaks

MetricBucaramangaDeportes Tolima
Wins36
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-01-4
Biggest losses0-43-01-33-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricBucaramangaDeportes Tolima
Form35%65%
Att40%60%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportes Tolima and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ William Hill
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bucaramanga = 1.36 (league 1.11), Deportes Tolima = 1.41 (league 0.79)

Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 6.3% 8.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.5% 12.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 38.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1