Thu, Mar 26 2026 • 19:45 • PGE Narodowy
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.90) 0.28 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 43.3% 12.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.4%
1 - 0
26.8%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Albania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland 0 35.4% 10.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 7.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.2% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolandAlbania
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack30%12%
Defense85%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poland Albania
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%50%50%50%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses0%25%13%25%25%25%

Form: Poland: WWLDWWDW • Albania: LWDDWWWL

League goals

Metric Poland Albania
HATHAT
GF total7714437
GF avg1.81.81.81.00.80.9
GA total257235
GA avg0.51.30.90.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolandAlbania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%63%38%
1.550%25%13%25%
2.525%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolandAlbania
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricPolandAlbania
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPolandAlbania
Wins23
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses—2-10-22-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricPolandAlbania
Form52%48%
Att71%29%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total62.5%37.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Poland or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.66 @ 1xBet
Away6.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Poland = 0.76 (league 1.90), Albania = 0.28 (league 1.42)

Albania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland 0 35.4% 10.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 7.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.2% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 43.3% · Away win 12.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1