Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 19:00 •
The Wham Stadium
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.82)
1.09 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5% | 31.6% | 42.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| USA U23 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| England U23 W | 0 | 15.6% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | England U23 W | USA U23 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 3 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 26% | 21% |
| Defense | 53% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | England U23 W | USA U23 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 60% | 0% | 43% | — | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 14% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 100% | 43% | — | 33% | 33% |
Form: England U23 W: LWLWLDW • USA U23 W: WLW
League goals
| Metric | England U23 W | USA U23 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | England U23 W | USA U23 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | England U23 W | USA U23 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | England U23 W | USA U23 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | England U23 W | USA U23 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | England U23 W | USA U23 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or USA U23 W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): England U23 W = 0.77 (league 1.82), USA U23 W = 1.09 (league 1.19)
| USA U23 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| England U23 W | 0 | 15.6% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 42.8%
vtt 6 , vtd1