Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 20:30 •
Estadio La Independencia
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.27)
0.85 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.4% | 30.0% | 26.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Soacha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Patriotas | 0 | 13.2% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Soacha |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Soacha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 23 | 45 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 68% | 48% | 58% | 55% | 43% | 49% |
| Draws | 23% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 29% | 23% |
| Loses | 9% | 39% | 24% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
Form: Patriotas: WDWWDWWWLWWDWLLWLDWLWWDLLWLWDWLDWWWWWWWWLDLWW • Real Soacha: DDWDWWLWWDDWWLWLLWLWLLLLWDDWWWLWWDDWLWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Soacha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 24 | 57 | 34 | 26 | 60 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 23 | 36 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Patriotas | Real Soacha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 60% | 81% | 51% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 16% | 30% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 4% | 19% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Soacha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Soacha |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Soacha |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Soacha |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Patriotas or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Patriotas = 1.18 (league 1.27), Real Soacha = 0.85 (league 0.85)
| Real Soacha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Patriotas | 0 | 13.2% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 26.4%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1