Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.07) 1.28 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 27.7% 40.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serrano RJ 0 9.3% 11.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSerrano RJBonsucesso
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%67%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Serrano RJ Bonsucesso
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins57%50%54%67%43%54%
Draws14%33%23%33%29%31%
Loses29%17%23%0%29%15%

Form: Serrano RJ: DWLLWLDWWDWWW • Bonsucesso: DWDWWWWWDDLLW

League goals

Metric Serrano RJ Bonsucesso
HATHAT
GF total97168816
GF avg1.31.21.21.31.11.2
GA total7411268
GA avg1.00.70.80.30.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSerrano RJBonsucesso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%77%54%
1.538%15%38%8%
2.58%0%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSerrano RJBonsucesso
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricSerrano RJBonsucesso
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSerrano RJBonsucesso
Wins25
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-0—1-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricSerrano RJBonsucesso
Form72%28%
Att64%36%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Serrano RJ or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.62 @ Bet365
Away3.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Serrano RJ = 1.09 (league 1.07), Bonsucesso = 1.28 (league 0.86)

Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serrano RJ 0 9.3% 11.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1