Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:00 •
Al Merreikh Stadium
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.16)
0.84 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.7% | 33.6% | 31.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 17.6% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 50% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 71% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 50% | 17% | 25% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 75% | 50% |
Form: Al Merreikh: WLLW • AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 10% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Merreikh | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Merreikh or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Merreikh = 0.90 (league 1.16), AS Kigali = 0.84 (league 0.95)
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 17.6% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 31.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1