Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 13:00 • Umuganda Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.12) 0.66 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.7% 50.9% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.2%
0 - 1
32.3%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Al Merreikh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etincelles 0 49.2% 32.3% 10.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEtincellesAl Merreikh
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack70%50%
Defense10%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Etincelles Al Merreikh
HATHAT
Played5611437
Wins0%17%9%75%67%71%
Draws80%50%64%0%0%0%
Loses20%33%27%25%33%29%

Form: Etincelles: DLDDDDDDLLW • Al Merreikh: WLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Etincelles Al Merreikh
HATHAT
GF total189437
GF avg0.21.30.81.01.01.0
GA total31013213
GA avg0.61.71.20.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEtincellesAl Merreikh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%71%43%
1.59%27%29%0%
2.59%9%0%0%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEtincellesAl Merreikh
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score404112

Penalties

MetricEtincellesAl Merreikh
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEtincellesAl Merreikh
Wins01
Draws60
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-10-11-0
Goals For1322
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricEtincellesAl Merreikh
Form29%71%
Att58%42%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total28.8%71.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Merreikh and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Etincelles = 0.05 (league 1.12), Al Merreikh = 0.66 (league 0.92)

Al Merreikh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etincelles 0 49.2% 32.3% 10.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.7% · Draw 50.9% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1