Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:30 •
Al Merreikh Stadium
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.12)
0.44 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 31.9% | 14.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Gicumbi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 64% | 45% |
| Defense | 82% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 67% | 42% |
Form: Al Merreikh: WLLWWWWW • Gicumbi: LLWDWDLLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Merreikh or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Merreikh = 1.16 (league 1.12), Gicumbi = 0.44 (league 0.92)
| Gicumbi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 14.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1