Wed, Dec 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Al Merreikh Stadium
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.12)
0.27 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.5% | 45.0% | 12.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
37.5%
1 - 0
26.8%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Musanze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 37.5% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.8% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 64% | 73% |
| Defense | 82% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Musanze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 80% | 75% | 78% | 57% | 20% | 42% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 20% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 40% | 25% |
Form: Al Merreikh: WLLWWWWWW • Musanze: LWDDDWWWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Musanze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Merreikh | Musanze | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 44% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Musanze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Al Merreikh or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Merreikh = 0.71 (league 1.12), Musanze = 0.27 (league 0.90)
| Musanze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 37.5% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.8% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 12.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1