Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 16:30 •
Al Merreikh Stadium
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.18)
0.44 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.4% | 53.3% | 27.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
46.3%
0 - 1
20.4%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 46.3% | 20.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 58% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 83% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 43% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 8% | 25% | 43% | 33% |
| Loses | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
Form: Al Merreikh: WLLWWWWWWWDW • Police: WWWWWDDWDDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Merreikh | Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 42% | 73% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 8% | 27% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Police and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Merreikh = 0.33 (league 1.18), Police = 0.44 (league 0.95)
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 46.3% | 20.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 53.3% · Away win 27.4%
vtt 5 , vtd1