Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:00 •
Al Merreikh Stadium
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.16)
0.66 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.8% | 33.6% | 23.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mukura | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 18.8% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 80% |
| Attack | 60% | 70% |
| Defense | 70% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Mukura | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 67% | 69% | 57% | 38% | 47% |
| Draws | 14% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 38% | 27% |
| Loses | 14% | 17% | 15% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
Form: Al Merreikh: WLLWWWWWWWDWD • Mukura: WDDLWDLLDWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Mukura | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Merreikh | Mukura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 46% | 73% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 8% | 27% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Mukura | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Merreikh or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Merreikh = 1.01 (league 1.16), Mukura = 0.66 (league 0.95)
| Mukura | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 18.8% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.8% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 23.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1