Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 04:35 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.91) 0.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 30.1% 23.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Heidelberg United
0 1 2 3 4 5
South Melbourne 0 14.1% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouth MelbourneHeidelberg United
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack59%100%
Defense76%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 217 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric South Melbourne Heidelberg United
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins100%67%86%75%33%57%
Draws0%33%14%25%67%43%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: South Melbourne: WWWWWDW • Heidelberg United: WWWDDDW

League goals

Metric South Melbourne Heidelberg United
HATHAT
GF total961515621
GF avg2.32.02.13.82.03.0
GA total246437
GA avg0.51.30.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouth MelbourneHeidelberg United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%100%71%
1.586%29%71%29%
2.529%14%43%0%
3.50%0%29%0%
4.50%0%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouth MelbourneHeidelberg United
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSouth MelbourneHeidelberg United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSouth MelbourneHeidelberg United
Wins53
Draws13
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-26-10-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3363
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSouth MelbourneHeidelberg United
Form59%41%
Att37%63%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : South Melbourne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): South Melbourne = 1.21 (league 1.91), Heidelberg United = 0.75 (league 1.33)

Heidelberg United
0 1 2 3 4 5
South Melbourne 0 14.1% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1