Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.82) 2.52 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.1% 15.7% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.2%
0 - 3
9.4%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Italy U23 W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sweden U23 W 0 3.5% 8.9% 11.2% 9.4% 5.9% 3.0%
1 2.9% 7.3% 9.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSweden U23 WItaly U23 W
Played55
Form80%7%
Attack100%38%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sweden U23 W Italy U23 W
HATHAT
Played448426
Wins50%100%75%0%50%17%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%17%
Loses50%0%25%100%0%67%

Form: Sweden U23 W: LWWWWWWL • Italy U23 W: WLLLDL

League goals

Metric Sweden U23 W Italy U23 W
HATHAT
GF total61117145
GF avg1.52.82.10.32.00.8
GA total6511628
GA avg1.51.31.41.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSweden U23 WItaly U23 W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%50%83%
1.563%38%33%33%
2.550%25%0%17%
3.525%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSweden U23 WItaly U23 W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score202303

Penalties

MetricSweden U23 WItaly U23 W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSweden U23 WItaly U23 W
Wins61
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-4—1-3—
Goals For4412
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricSweden U23 WItaly U23 W
Form92%8%
Att79%21%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sweden U23 W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away4.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sweden U23 W = 0.82 (league 1.82), Italy U23 W = 2.52 (league 1.19)

Italy U23 W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sweden U23 W 0 3.5% 8.9% 11.2% 9.4% 5.9% 3.0%
1 2.9% 7.3% 9.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 69.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1