Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.57) 2.40 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 17.2% 66.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.4%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Toluca
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 3.6% 8.7% 10.4% 8.4% 5.0% 2.4%
1 3.3% 8.0% 9.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.5% 3.6% 4.4% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC JuarezToluca
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack59%47%
Defense35%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Juarez Toluca
HATHAT
Played109199817
Wins50%22%37%67%63%65%
Draws30%22%26%22%25%24%
Loses20%56%37%11%13%12%

Form: FC Juarez: DLDLWWWDLWWLDLDWLLW • Toluca: WWLWDLWWWWWWWDDDW

League goals

Metric FC Juarez Toluca
HATHAT
GF total181230271643
GF avg1.81.31.63.02.02.5
GA total14183212618
GA avg1.42.01.71.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC JuarezToluca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%82%65%
1.553%42%76%29%
2.511%26%59%6%
3.55%11%24%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC JuarezToluca
HATHAT
Clean sheets202246
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricFC JuarezToluca
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricFC JuarezToluca
Wins37
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-26-20-3
Biggest losses0-24-23-41-0
Goals For4264
Goals Against4442

Model comparison

MetricFC JuarezToluca
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def15%85%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h29%71%
Goals37%63%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Toluca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Juarez = 0.92 (league 1.57), Toluca = 2.40 (league 1.16)

Toluca
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 3.6% 8.7% 10.4% 8.4% 5.0% 2.4%
1 3.3% 8.0% 9.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.5% 3.6% 4.4% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 66.7%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1