Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.45) 1.03 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 23.2% 21.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Cristal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.0% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza LimaSporting Cristal
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack91%82%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Lima Sporting Cristal
HATHAT
Played181836191837
Wins61%50%56%68%39%54%
Draws28%22%25%16%22%19%
Loses11%28%19%16%39%27%

Form: Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDLWLWLWWDWWD • Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDWLWLLWWWD

League goals

Metric Alianza Lima Sporting Cristal
HATHAT
GF total361854382664
GF avg2.01.01.52.01.41.7
GA total131831152439
GA avg0.71.00.90.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza LimaSporting Cristal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%56%78%65%
1.542%19%54%27%
2.519%8%24%11%
3.56%3%11%3%
4.53%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza LimaSporting Cristal
HATHAT
Clean sheets97168513
Failed to score347358

Penalties

MetricAlianza LimaSporting Cristal
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total109

Streaks

MetricAlianza LimaSporting Cristal
Wins34
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-25-01-4
Biggest losses3-43-01-24-1
Goals For5254
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricAlianza LimaSporting Cristal
Form52%48%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alianza Lima = 1.79 (league 1.45), Sporting Cristal = 1.03 (league 0.95)

Sporting Cristal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.0% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1