Super League — Kenya
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.26) 1.58 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.8% 24.9% 59.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 2
13.6%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 10.9% 17.2% 13.6% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.0% 8.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi City StarsNzoia Sugar
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack38%63%
Defense38%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi City Stars Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%40%0%22%
Draws0%20%11%60%75%67%
Loses75%40%56%0%25%11%

Form: Nairobi City Stars: LWWLLLDLW • Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLW

League goals

Metric Nairobi City Stars Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
GF total347639
GF avg0.80.80.81.20.81.0
GA total639347
GA avg1.50.61.00.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi City StarsNzoia Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%56%44%
1.522%22%44%33%
2.50%11%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi City StarsNzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricNairobi City StarsNzoia Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNairobi City StarsNzoia Sugar
Wins21
Draws16
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-0—
Biggest losses0-21-0—2-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricNairobi City StarsNzoia Sugar
Form40%60%
Att38%63%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nzoia Sugar and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi City Stars = 0.64 (league 1.26), Nzoia Sugar = 1.58 (league 0.76)

Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 10.9% 17.2% 13.6% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.0% 8.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 59.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1