Super League — Kenya
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.26) 0.86 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.5% 20.0% 14.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gucha Stars 0 5.4% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGucha StarsMwatate United
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack40%27%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gucha Stars Mwatate United
HATHAT
Played437549
Wins75%0%43%20%0%11%
Draws0%33%14%40%50%44%
Loses25%67%43%40%50%44%

Form: Gucha Stars: WDLLWLW • Mwatate United: LDLLDDWDL

League goals

Metric Gucha Stars Mwatate United
HATHAT
GF total808527
GF avg2.00.01.11.00.50.8
GA total5279514
GA avg1.30.71.01.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGucha StarsMwatate United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%56%78%
1.557%14%22%56%
2.50%14%0%22%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGucha StarsMwatate United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricGucha StarsMwatate United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGucha StarsMwatate United
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-0—
Biggest losses2-31-00-33-1
Goals For2021
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricGucha StarsMwatate United
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Gucha Stars or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gucha Stars = 2.07 (league 1.26), Mwatate United = 0.86 (league 0.76)

Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gucha Stars 0 5.4% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 14.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1