Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.67) 1.17 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 26.8% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.8%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vila Meã 0 8.0% 9.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.7% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVila MeãUnião de Leiria
Played43
Form100%100%
Attack53%53%
Defense89%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.510 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.55 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vila Meã União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played224123
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Vila Meã: WWWW • União de Leiria: WWW

League goals

Metric Vila Meã União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total37103710
GF avg1.53.52.53.03.53.3
GA total112235
GA avg0.50.50.52.01.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVila MeãUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.575%0%100%67%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.525%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVila MeãUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricVila MeãUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVila MeãUnião de Leiria
Wins43
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-43-22-4
Biggest losses
Goals For2434
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricVila MeãUnião de Leiria
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Vila Meã or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vila Meã = 1.35 (league 1.67), União de Leiria = 1.17 (league 1.49)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vila Meã 0 8.0% 9.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.7% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1