Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.48) 3.16 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.2% 15.2% 56.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.0%
1 - 2
6.6%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 0.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 3.3% 2.1%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.6% 7.0% 5.5% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.6% 5.9% 4.6% 2.9%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaCrotone
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack29%24%
Defense90%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 25 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.71 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Crotone
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Potenza: WWW • Crotone: WWW

League goals

Metric Potenza Crotone
HATHAT
GF total516235
GF avg2.51.02.01.03.01.7
GA total202011
GA avg1.00.00.70.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%33%
1.533%33%33%0%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPotenzaCrotone
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricPotenzaCrotone
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-11-01-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4113
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaCrotone
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h25%75%
Goals42%58%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crotone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.51 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.69 (league 1.48), Crotone = 3.16 (league 0.95)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 0.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 3.3% 2.1%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.6% 7.0% 5.5% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.6% 5.9% 4.6% 2.9%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 56.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1