Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Independencia
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.56)
0.74 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.9% | 34.2% | 27.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Managua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Estelí | 0 | 18.8% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 82% |
| Defense | 82% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 70% | 33% | 53% | 78% | 44% | 61% |
| Draws | 30% | 33% | 32% | 22% | 11% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 16% | 0% | 44% | 22% |
Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWWLW • Managua: WLDWLWWWLDWWWWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 10 | 28 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Estelí | Managua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 58% | 83% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 16% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 5% | 28% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Estelí or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 0.92 (league 1.56), Managua = 0.74 (league 0.94)
| Managua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Estelí | 0 | 18.8% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 27.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1