J3 League — Japan
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 06:00 • Unilever Stadium Shintomi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.42) 1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 24.5% 37.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 5.2% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.4% 8.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiKagoshima United
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack58%50%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Kagoshima United
HATHAT
Played191938191938
Wins47%53%50%63%32%47%
Draws32%21%26%21%42%32%
Loses21%26%24%16%26%21%

Form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWLWWDWDWLWWL • Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWWWLLDWWWLDDL

League goals

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Kagoshima United
HATHAT
GF total313061442569
GF avg1.61.61.62.31.31.8
GA total242145202444
GA avg1.31.11.21.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTegevajaro MiyazakiKagoshima United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%76%82%71%
1.545%34%50%34%
2.521%8%29%8%
3.511%0%11%3%
4.53%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiKagoshima United
HATHAT
Clean sheets4596511
Failed to score347167

Penalties

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiKagoshima United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiKagoshima United
Wins34
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-56-01-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-33-0
Goals For4563
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiKagoshima United
Form64%36%
Att54%46%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 1.47 (league 1.42), Kagoshima United = 1.49 (league 1.14)

Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 5.2% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.4% 8.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 37.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1