J2 League — Japan
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 04:10 • Pocarisweat Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.28) 0.90 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 29.5% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jubilo Iwata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokushima Vortis 0 12.2% 11.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.2% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTokushima VortisJubilo Iwata
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack47%67%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tokushima Vortis Jubilo Iwata
HATHAT
Played191938191938
Wins47%47%47%58%42%50%
Draws26%32%29%11%26%18%
Loses26%21%24%32%32%32%

Form: Tokushima Vortis: WWDDLDWLDLWWWLWWDWDWDLDWWLWDLLWWWLDWWD • Jubilo Iwata: WWLLWWWDDLLLDWWWDDWWLLWLLWWDWLLWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Tokushima Vortis Jubilo Iwata
HATHAT
GF total212445302959
GF avg1.11.31.21.61.51.6
GA total141024242751
GA avg0.70.50.61.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTokushima VortisJubilo Iwata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%50%79%68%
1.532%11%42%39%
2.511%3%24%18%
3.55%0%8%8%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTokushima VortisJubilo Iwata
HATHAT
Clean sheets910198412
Failed to score5611448

Penalties

MetricTokushima VortisJubilo Iwata
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricTokushima VortisJubilo Iwata
Wins33
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-45-12-4
Biggest losses0-22-10-43-1
Goals For4454
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricTokushima VortisJubilo Iwata
Form38%62%
Att41%59%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tokushima Vortis or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ SBO
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tokushima Vortis = 1.21 (league 1.28), Jubilo Iwata = 0.90 (league 1.17)

Jubilo Iwata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokushima Vortis 0 12.2% 11.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.2% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1