Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.31)
0.55 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.7% | 25.0% | 12.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| San Martin Formosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 0 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 53% | 60% |
| Defense | 80% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 18 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 88% | 28% | 56% | 72% | 24% | 49% |
| Draws | 13% | 33% | 24% | 17% | 41% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 39% | 21% | 11% | 35% | 23% |
Form: Atletico DE Rafaela: LWLWDWWWWLWDDDDLWDWWWLWLDWWDLWWWWW • San Martin Formosa: WWLDDDWWWDWDWDWDLDWWDWLWLLLWDWWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 14 | 41 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 19 | 26 | 9 | 21 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 56% | 80% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 15% | 34% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 23% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 62.2% | 38.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atletico DE Rafaela = 1.56 (league 1.31), San Martin Formosa = 0.55 (league 0.73)
| San Martin Formosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 0 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 12.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1