Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 12:30 •
Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.09)
0.85 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.3% | 33.2% | 31.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 0
15.7%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Fajr Sepasi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Malavan | 0 | 17.1% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 80% | 80% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 36% | 40% | 14% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 60% | 45% | 20% | 71% | 50% |
| Loses | 17% | 20% | 18% | 40% | 14% | 25% |
Form: Malavan: DWDLDWWDDLW • Fajr Sepasi: DWDWDLWLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 45% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 9% | 8% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Malavan | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Malavan or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Malavan = 0.92 (league 1.09), Fajr Sepasi = 0.85 (league 0.85)
| Fajr Sepasi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Malavan | 0 | 17.1% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 31.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
