Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 12:30 • Azadi Stadium
Second Half
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.05) 1.43 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.8% 27.0% 56.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
13.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tractor Sazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 13.0% 18.6% 13.3% 6.4% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal FCTractor Sazi
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack67%33%
Defense33%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal FC Tractor Sazi
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%38%29%33%
Draws43%50%47%50%57%53%
Loses14%13%13%13%14%13%

Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWWWWDDDLW • Tractor Sazi: LDWWDDWDLWDDWDD

League goals

Metric Esteghlal FC Tractor Sazi
HATHAT
GF total1192010818
GF avg1.61.11.31.31.11.2
GA total8513538
GA avg1.10.60.90.60.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal FCTractor Sazi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%67%47%47%
1.533%13%33%7%
2.520%7%20%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal FCTractor Sazi
HATHAT
Clean sheets235358
Failed to score123448

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal FCTractor Sazi
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal FCTractor Sazi
Wins42
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-10-5
Biggest losses0-11-00-12-1
Goals For3345
Goals Against3112

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal FCTractor Sazi
Form46%54%
Att67%33%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tractor Sazi and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Dafabet
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.36 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 0.61 (league 1.05), Tractor Sazi = 1.43 (league 0.84)

Tractor Sazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 13.0% 18.6% 13.3% 6.4% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.8% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 56.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1