Super League — Kenya
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.25) 0.77 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 33.5% 28.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
MCF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 17.7% 13.7% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNzoia SugarMCF
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack100%50%
Defense17%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nzoia Sugar MCF
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%40%20%30%
Draws60%80%70%0%40%20%
Loses0%20%10%60%40%50%

Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWD • MCF: LLWLDLWDWL

League goals

Metric Nzoia Sugar MCF
HATHAT
GF total6410257
GF avg1.20.81.00.41.00.7
GA total358459
GA avg0.61.00.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNzoia SugarMCF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%50%50%60%
1.540%30%10%20%
2.50%0%10%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNzoia SugarMCF
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricNzoia SugarMCF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNzoia SugarMCF
Wins11
Draws61
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-00-3
Biggest losses—2-10-23-1
Goals For2213
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricNzoia SugarMCF
Form46%54%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nzoia Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.96 (league 1.25), MCF = 0.77 (league 0.78)

MCF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 17.7% 13.7% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 28.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1