Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 03:10 • Estadio Universitario (UANL)
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.57) 0.97 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 23.8% 21.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 11.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack56%50%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigres UANL Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins70%40%55%64%44%55%
Draws20%50%35%27%44%35%
Loses10%10%10%9%11%10%

Form: Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWDWWWDWLWD • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWLDWD

League goals

Metric Tigres UANL Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total271441231336
GF avg2.71.42.12.11.41.8
GA total8122014923
GA avg0.81.21.01.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigres UANLCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%55%85%70%
1.550%25%60%35%
2.525%20%30%10%
3.520%0%5%0%
4.515%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets639336
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Wins37
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-24-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-02-32-0
Goals For7443
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Tigres UANL or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 10Bet
Away3.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigres UANL = 1.72 (league 1.57), Cruz Azul = 0.97 (league 1.16)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 11.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 21.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1