Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Azteca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.56) 1.57 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 23.1% 35.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.5% 10.2% 8.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz AzulTigres UANL
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack77%85%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul Tigres UANL
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins70%44%58%70%44%58%
Draws20%44%32%20%44%32%
Loses10%11%11%10%11%11%

Form: Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWLDW • Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWDWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul Tigres UANL
HATHAT
GF total221335271340
GF avg2.21.41.82.71.42.1
GA total1392281119
GA avg1.31.01.20.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz AzulTigres UANL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%68%84%53%
1.563%37%53%26%
2.532%11%26%21%
3.55%0%21%0%
4.50%0%16%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz AzulTigres UANL
HATHAT
Clean sheets336639
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricCruz AzulTigres UANL
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricCruz AzulTigres UANL
Wins73
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-37-00-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-33-0
Goals For4374
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricCruz AzulTigres UANL
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: No predictions available

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul = 1.69 (league 1.56), Tigres UANL = 1.57 (league 1.16)

Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.5% 10.2% 8.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 35.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1