Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.16)
0.42 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3% | 19.9% | 7.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
17.7%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Machokha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lioli | 0 | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lioli | Machokha |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 23% | 8% |
| Defense | 92% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lioli | Machokha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 60% | 50% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Lioli: WLWWLDWWDD • Machokha: WWDLLLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Lioli | Machokha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lioli | Machokha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 40% | 40% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lioli | Machokha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lioli | Machokha |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lioli | Machokha |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lioli | Machokha |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 75.8% | 24.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lioli or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lioli = 1.86 (league 1.16), Machokha = 0.42 (league 1.15)
| Machokha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lioli | 0 | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 7.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1